Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Cottam

Team: Lever ClubDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

967

Current Handicap

7
Honours
Season:

69

Matches Played

29

Wins

40

Losses

42%

Win Rate

7.6

Avg Win Margin

6.3

Avg Loss Margin

16-17

Home Record

13-23

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
63 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

A large recent sample: 63 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins29/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 69 matches

+7 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 Jul10 May1 Jul23 Aug13 Jun4 Aug8 May6 Jul21 Aug-1258

Gives 7 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current7
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.8
score+0.20→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
1003
score-0.15→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.067
Sample Size Confidence
100%(63/39 matches)
Rating967 → shrunk 967
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)967
Recency Blend40% (63 recent matches)
Final Rating967
Handicap
7

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W40L69 matches·42% win rate
+40 since first recorded
21 Aug25 Aug29 Aug9409659901036
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lever Club2023–2026League 169294042%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026James WhalleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
8/17/2026Mick AndrewsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 1
8/14/2026Bill DowH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
8/7/2026Malcolm HughesA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
7/31/2026Owen TurnerH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
7/24/2026Owen DoyleA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
7/20/2026Neil SherbrookeA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
7/20/2026Neil SherbrookeA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
7/10/2026Steve SnowA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 1
7/6/2026Nigel BuckleyH21-1WIN+20LeagueLeague 1
7/3/2026James IsaacH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2026Steve LyonsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 1
6/8/2026Jane BradshawA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
6/5/2026Sue NugentH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 1
5/22/2026Elaine MilliganA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 1
5/18/2026Neil TurnerA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
5/15/2026Gary ConwellH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
5/8/2026Michael WalshH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
5/1/2026Peter McGregorA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2026Jordan McelnayH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
4/20/2026Paul LewisA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
8/22/2025Stan NewellH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
8/20/2025Jordan McelnayH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/18/2025Peter BirchA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
8/11/2025John DevlinA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/4/2025Kevin NugentH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
7/25/2025Steve LyonsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
7/21/2025Paula GormanH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
7/18/2025Lee BrocklebankA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
7/11/2025Dave WilliamsH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
7/7/2025Russell SeymourA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 1
7/4/2025Paul GriffithsH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
6/30/2025Peter BirchH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
6/27/2025Ian MoxhamA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
6/13/2025Paul LewisA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 1
6/9/2025Marc DaughertyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
6/6/2025Gail LewisA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
5/30/2025Paul GriffithsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
5/23/2025Christopher WoodA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
5/16/2025Steve ScottH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
5/9/2025Steve SnowA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
5/2/2025Brian HanlonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
4/25/2025Mark MylesA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/23/2024Andy OpenshawH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
8/12/2024Brian HampsonA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
8/2/2024Andrew MilfordA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 1
7/26/2024Karl SherbrookeH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 1
7/19/2024Rob SmithA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
7/15/2024Steve ScottH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
7/12/2024Dave McdermottA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
7/5/2024Peter McgregorH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
7/1/2024Vic WilliamsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
6/28/2024Hanna LusseyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
6/24/2024Darren HankinA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
6/14/2024Steve MealorH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
6/3/2024Brian SadlerH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 1
5/31/2024Wayne McdermottA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
5/24/2024Paul WilliamsH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
5/17/2024Steve ScottA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
5/10/2024Dave McdermottH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
5/3/2024Paul GriffithsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
4/26/2024Kye GormanA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
4/22/2024Nick Burridge JnrH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
8/21/2023Graham BuntingH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
8/18/2023Karl SherbrookeH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/11/2023Jane LambA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
8/7/2023Frank PotterA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
8/4/2023Ron HitchmoughA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 1
7/24/2023Linda JonesH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 1
Federation National League2026· Birkenhead (8)1W · 2L · 33.3%
DateOpponentTeamH/AScoreResult
12/07/2026Joan BeerLeylandA3-21LOSS
14/06/2026Mike SpencerWarringtonA21-19WIN
10/05/2026Todd EvansCheshire Parks BA16-21LOSS
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl9 games · 6W
20263 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGeorge McalenyThingwall21-4WINWON
Quarters RoundPhil RichardsKendal21-11WINWON
Semi Final RoundIan MoxhamHeswall RBL5-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundValerie CecchiniPensby21-20WINWON
Round of 16 RoundDebbie Formston-wrightPort Sunlight Village & Works21-17WINWON
20244 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundGillian McalenyThingwall B21-18WINWON
Round of 16 Round* Rob SmithUpton Victory Hall21-6WINWON
Quarters RoundChris MorrisonHeswall RBL14-21LOSSWON
Semi Final Round* Phil VaughanNew Brighton Quarry Vikings11-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSam WilliamsNaval Club13-21LOSSWON
Wirral Merit8 games · 5W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentScoreResult
Round of 64Jordan Riley21-19WIN
Round of 32Russell Seymour16-21LOSS
20254 rounds
RoundOpponentScoreResult
Round of 32Kevin Walsh21-7WIN
Round of 16Calvin Gratrix21-16WIN
Semi FinalNick Burridge Jnr8-21LOSS
Quarter FinalGeoff Mcadam21-16WIN
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentScoreResult
Round of 32Matty Brady21-15WIN
Round of 16Darren Hankin12-21LOSS
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup5 games · 4W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve MealorHoylake Central & Melrose21-18WINWON
Semi Final RoundGaynor GreenfieldGladstone B21-11WINLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJune BuckleyRoyden Hall21-2WINWON
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundMartin HickmanBebington Park21-8WINWON
Quarters RoundJosh BuntingNew Brighton Quarry Vikings10-21LOSSWON
Sansom Cup4 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundWayne McdermottWest Kirby Victoria0-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSeamus KellyCammell Laird21-10WINWON
Quarters RoundJane BradshawHoylake Central & Melrose13-21LOSSWON
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundFrank PotterHoylake Central & Melrose13-21LOSSWON
Frank Hurst Trophy2 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundBill JonesManor Road B21-18WINWON
Semi Final RoundJack WilliamsNaval Club13-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LLLWLLWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paul Griffiths0330%7/4/2025
Steve Scott12333.3%5/16/2025
Neil Sherbrooke202100%7/20/2026
Steve Snow11250%7/10/2026
Steve Lyons0220%6/12/2026
Jordan Mcelnay11250%4/24/2026
Paul Lewis11250%4/20/2026
Peter Birch11250%8/18/2025
Karl Sherbrooke0220%7/26/2024
Dave Mcdermott0220%7/12/2024
Biggest Win
Nigel Buckley (+20)7/6/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Karl Sherbrooke (-15)7/26/2024
Nemesis
Paul Griffiths0-3 H2H
Best Season
202652% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202532% · 22 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
38% → 46%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
99669 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
9-2626% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
20-1459% win rate
League 142%
29W·40L·69 played

Debut

Jul 24, 2023

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

17.3 (69 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026